Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1.411281 1.758368 2.222544 2.915985 3.980300 5.663936 8.823370
2025-08-10 0.988697 1.355164 1.929061 2.987210 5.179783 10.615496 33.563180
2025-08-17 0.796402 1.160424 1.794505 3.163927 6.861672 22.291160 504.595329
2025-08-24 0.661647 1.001583 1.635872 3.165853 8.271302 45.744143 NaN
2025-08-31 0.559096 0.866870 1.467094 3.027561 9.134369 89.789679 NaN
2025-09-07 0.505543 0.806143 1.424163 3.189237 11.818391 467.668360 NaN
2025-09-14 0.455052 0.739701 1.346873 3.204264 14.100973 27606.060106 NaN
2025-09-21 0.408752 0.672797 1.249867 3.099808 15.534124 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.373390 0.622049 1.178505 3.047981 17.610377 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.360196 0.614259 1.209914 3.412961 27.691803 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.341991 0.592780 1.200480 3.614490 39.886298 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.319500 0.558782 1.149355 3.593759 48.723044 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.295063 0.518265 1.074047 3.421280 51.806790 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.280359 0.497920 1.052265 3.522011 74.299675 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.269892 0.485811 1.051715 3.750086 134.619222 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.255856 0.463779 1.016872 3.752996 194.266765 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.239969 0.435856 0.959172 3.576027 209.078378 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.232393 0.426770 0.958453 3.783131 530.636086 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.222374 0.410808 0.932917 3.802447 1111.147160 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.210968 0.390520 0.890184 3.668425 1486.863300 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.201514 0.374240 0.858343 3.602130 2904.758936 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.199767 0.376618 0.888926 4.071816 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.195147 0.371380 0.892676 4.333916 NaN NaN NaN